Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 9.981730 11.077067 12.254595 13.616575 15.150949 16.828831 18.806328
2025-08-17 8.036023 9.491745 11.169663 13.254686 15.787103 18.776994 22.594639
2025-08-24 6.730135 8.374517 10.384384 13.039700 16.482127 20.830185 26.794999
2025-08-31 5.814670 7.565364 9.816035 12.952782 17.260639 23.040911 31.505398
2025-09-07 5.240351 7.093323 9.585305 13.230067 18.506089 25.992256 37.646639
2025-09-14 4.664016 6.531595 9.142936 13.126545 19.166947 28.175422 42.996692
2025-09-21 4.147695 5.983966 8.640909 12.848310 19.498535 29.873158 47.827045
2025-09-28 3.763934 5.580194 8.292116 12.737719 20.042293 31.931586 53.521909
2025-10-05 3.566805 5.431280 8.302858 13.174808 21.497024 35.636125 62.606989
2025-10-12 3.383315 5.280732 8.288269 13.557389 22.893304 39.413756 72.451040
2025-10-19 3.161892 5.045051 8.107765 13.631047 23.747504 42.328472 81.143600
2025-10-26 2.922416 4.755741 7.807035 13.455340 24.117542 44.380113 88.449501
2025-11-02 2.693178 4.468114 7.489993 13.230113 24.395485 46.351249 96.088457
2025-11-09 2.487525 4.203355 7.188459 13.000805 24.638482 48.294626 104.066143
2025-11-16 2.315823 3.983301 6.945784 12.855019 25.027290 50.594054 113.315851
2025-11-23 2.174607 3.805601 6.763218 12.804176 25.601300 53.369877 124.264329
2025-11-30 2.090943 3.725776 6.754579 13.097076 26.937332 58.029579 140.887289
2025-12-07 1.967753 3.561283 6.568854 13.004987 27.418763 60.804377 153.229828
2025-12-14 1.835628 3.369051 6.312044 12.735044 27.463543 62.547386 163.155425
2025-12-21 1.733245 3.226269 6.140470 12.628431 27.867856 65.223814 176.306708
2025-12-28 1.694249 3.205175 6.212218 13.062917 29.611092 71.560027 201.767654
2026-01-04 1.651595 3.173058 6.257822 13.442741 31.273483 77.972569 229.152470
2026-01-11 1.583481 3.083507 6.174710 13.516187 32.176313 82.488380 251.638088